Saturday, May 28, 2011

EURUSD: The World’s Most Liquid Currency Pair

Since its beginning, when the Euro was introduced as an accounting currency on January 1st, 1999, the common currency has grown to be the second largest reserve currency on the planet, after the U.S. Dollar.

The online forex news covers the movement of the EURUSD rate on a constant basis because the currency pair makes up the most liquid and heavily traded currency pair in the world.

The Euro has been actively traded since January 1st, 2002 when coins and bills were issued to replace the original 14 currencies which made up the former European Currency Units or ECUs.

Since then, six other currencies have joined the original 14 with the Estonian Kroon the latest currency to be replaced with the Euro.

EURUSD Trading

USD forex news generally contains detailed information about trading the currency pair with many news agencies offering both a Euro currency forecast and a USD Euro forecast.

Spreads in the EURUSD currency pair is generally one pip, and sometimes among dealers and for large transactions can be less than one pip. Nevertheless, depending on economic releases and world events in the realtime forex news, spreads can widen considerably if the volatility of the currency pair increases.

Making a Euro Currency Forecast

Generally, research on the Euro focuses mainly on the exchange rate against the U.S. Dollar, since the forex USD rate is the most actively traded and hence important. Nevertheless, the Euro is also actively traded against the British Pound or GBP, the Japanese Yen or JPY and the Swiss Franc or CHF.

A typical Euro currency forecast will often include the ECB or European Central Bank’s monetary policy and interest rate outlook, historical price action in the EURUSD exchange rate and any pertinent news that might affect the Euro.

USD Euro Forecast

Many websites which offer online forex news, will also contain a USD Euro forecast. This forecast will highlight the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy, as well as the ECB’s interest rate policy.

In addition, the USD forex news will also highlight major economic and political events which might possibly influence the value of the Greenback against the Euro, as well as other major currencies like the Australian Dollar or AUD/USD.

The EURUSD currency pair offers both beginning and seasoned traders ample opportunities to make profitable trades. With the depth of the market and the constant coverage of the rate on the online forex news, EURUSD can be the most accessible and viable currency pair, especially for new forex traders.

Trading in EURUSD is perfect for forex day traders, range traders and especially scalpers and short term traders that can take advantage of the narrow bid/offer spreads.

Other currency pairs may also provide traders with opportunities for profitable trades, such as AUD/USD, however the exchange rate AUD USD often has much wider bid/offer spreads and often trades with a considerably more volatility.

While the Euro generally trades in long sweeping moves, recent events have added volatility to the EURUSD exchange rate. Sovereign debt concerns in addition to the bailouts of Greece and Ireland have made trading the EURUSD rate much more interesting and profitable — if the trader is on the right side of the move. Nevertheless, EURUSD continues being the most traded and liquid currency pair in the forex market.

Saturday, May 21, 2011

A Perfect World


In a perfect world, everyone produce something.

Farmers grow plants, feed chickens, fishermen catch fish, builder made homes etc. So we can sit together at night and enjoy a complete dinner in our nice homes. It was easy to know who is suppose to do what, who produces what.


When there are too many fish caught, it has to be sold out of town. The fisherman doesn't have time to travel that far. So a delivery boy is helping the fisherman. The fisherman save time, hence catch more fishes and therefore its worth him paying the delivery boy. It is a value added chain, so service has become a part of perfect world too where everyone produce something, everyone produce some values.

It gets a bit complicated cause service is not as easy to quantify as materials. But its still ok.


A $1 fish may cost $2 in out of town because there are delivery cost incurred.

Soon more delivery services are needed. It is not easy to decide which of the 100 delivery boys is most reliable. So a manager came and organize a delivery company. The fisherman no longer need to worry about delivery, the delivery company will handle and be 'responsible' for the delivery part. If any single delivery boy does not perform, the company will immediately replace with a better one. Fish still reach destination on time. The fisherman doesn't need to worry a thing. What the management provided is a service on a service, there is still value provided.

Now the fish is $3 in out of town. The manager needs to eat too.


The fisherman's business grow much larger thanks to the great leveraging techniques. One day, the fisherman's primary school friend drop by and have a nice chat with the fisherman, asking the fisherman to let him handle the delivery part. Because he is more trust worthy, that they have known each other for so long etc. The fisherman agreed, perhaps due to the drinks or due to the flowery talks.

The primary school friend simply take orders for the fisherman and pass to the delivery company. Jobs still get done as usual but while doing that, he has raised the fish price to $5 in out of town. He gets $1 just for the deal he made. The fisherman gets $1 extra simply by letting his primary school friend take over the delivery part. The delivery company has nothing to loose.

Now it gets really tricky.
What did the primary school friend produces ?
What value has he added ?
What service has he provided ?

You can't say he has done nothing. He is instead smart, creating something from nothing. Is creativity really worth nothing ? He capitalize his relationship into a real asset.


The fisherman gets more value ( money ), the primary school friend earn something, the delivery company didn't loose anything. So theoretically speaking, the primary school friend has added value to the fisherman and himself. So it doesn't really break the law of perfect world.

The smart you may have already spotted the difference.

But at whose price ? Out of town folks used to pay $3 for a fish. $1 for the fisherman, $1 for the manager to make sure fish reach them on time and $1 for the delivery boy. Now the fish is $5! What is the other $2 for ? Well, that has nothing to do with any value received by the people in out of town. That was just a deal made between a primary school friend and the fisherman. The fisherman and the friend gets the whole $2!

Smart yes, add value to one or two persons yes, nothing wrong was done yes .... but whatever the primary school friend did, should NOT be included in the formula of 'PERFECT WORLD'.

In a perfect world, everyone produce something
FOR EVERYBODY.



Sounds familiar yet ? If not, may be you haven't read about zzzz's GST yet.

This article was suppose to be read in this sequence.

Thursday, May 19, 2011

Determining and Trading the Trend in the Forex Market

One of the most important elements for a forex trader to implement involves knowing when to enter the market and initiate trades. Although it may seem just as important to know when to get out of a trade, entering a trade makes up a large component of any forex trader’s success.

Indications for Direction and When to Enter the Market

Many traders rely on the USD forex news for indications on the direction of other currencies versus the dollar. Nevertheless, a Euro currency forecast against other major currencies gives experienced forex traders indications on other important cross rates.

In addition to employing the USD forex news and online forex news, an additional resource used by many traders to determine direction in the forex market is the realtime forex news, which covers forex news as it happens.

Many successful forex traders admit that they rarely get in at the top or bottom of major moves, but, instead get in on the move once the direction has been confirmed. Often, more than one indicator and in many cases a combination of indicators is used to determine the direction of a currency pair such as AUD/USD, for example.

A forex professional will often have the patience to wait and get in on a major move once they are confident that the pre determined conditions they are watching are met. This avoids the trader initiating trades on false signals.

The key is being aware of what signals to watch and then initiating trades promptly once these trading conditions are met. As an example, The Australian Dollar often moves in sympathy with the price of gold.

Once the trader becomes aware of a major move in the price of gold, the exchange rate AUD USD is highly likely to also make a similar move.

Identifying the Trend

A trading maxim often repeated among professional forex traders is “the trend is your friend”. This summarizes how trend traders approach trading and offers insight into what to look for when initiating trading positions.

A tried and true method for determining a forex trend consist of studying historical price charts of the currency pair’s exchange rate over a period of time. Technical data and its analysis has often been the first line of approach for many traders when discerning the market’s overall trend.

Trends also occur during different time frames: long term, medium term and short term.

Trading with the Trend

After an accurate determination of the direction of the trend, a professional trader can use the online forex news to get in on a trade using an item in the news for an optimum entry point. Using stops at key points which indicate a price reversal in the price chart will protect the trader’s profits

Once the trader has discerned the major trend, they can trade the trend in the medium and short term depending on what type of strategy they intend to implement. Many traders keep a watchful eye on the realtime forex news to catch key trend reversal points made after the release of major economic data.
For more info Please Visit: forexguidehowto.blogspot.com/


Saturday, May 14, 2011

Bullish and Bearish Indicators for Trading Forex

 Fundamental and Technical Indicators

Generally, seasoned traders cannot rely solely on the fundamental online forex news to determine entry and exit points for forex trading positions, but use a combination of technical indicators for optimum buying and selling opportunities in trading.

In many cases, more than one indicator is used, — whether fundamental or technical — with another indicator or group of indicators confirming each other to ensure the likelihood of a profitable trade.

Bullish Indicators

As an example, a Euro currency forecast or a USD Euro forecast might include the following technical indicators to provide the trader with optimum trading opportunities on the upside:

• Upside breakout of trend lines – Often, a trend line with a downward slant showing declining highs, which breaks out to the upside breaking through key resistance, indicates a good possibility of a trend reversal with a continuing bullish move.

• Divergences in the RSI and MACD – The Relative Strength Index or RSI and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence or MACD indicator make up two key technical indicators which signal a change to the upside in the overall trend when showing regular divergences versus the price after a period of overall downward price action. On the other hand, bullish hidden divergence indicates that a continuation of an upwards trend may soon resume.

• Strong nearby levels of support in the price chart – if the price chart shows a long sideways trend with strong levels of buying at certain prices, especially when near to the current price level, these indicate a likely move to the upside.


Individually interpreted, these indicators could give false positive results. Nevertheless, when taken in combination, they often provide a more solid basis for establishing a long position.

Bearish Indicators

Bearish indicators mirror bullish indicators and will often also be included in a USD Euro forecast or in a Euro currency forecast. Technical indicators generally negate fundamental events in the online forex news, with the trading maxim “price discounts all”.

• Trend lines which break out to the downside – generally, when a trend line begins to slope downwards and breaks key support levels, gives an indication that the bearish move will continue.

• Bearish divergences in the RSI and MACD – The Relative Strength Index or RSI and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence or MACD indicator make up two key technical indicators which signal a change to the downside in the overall trend when showing regular divergences versus the price after a period of steady upside movement. On the other hand, bearish hidden divergence indicates that a continuation of a downwards trend may soon resume.

• Strong nearby levels of resistance in the price chart – if the price chart shows a long sideways trend with strong levels of selling at certain prices, especially when near the current price level, these indicate a likely move to the downside.

As with the bullish indicators, when individually interpreted the bearish indicators could give false positive results and are much more effective when interpreted in combination. Although technical indicators do not rely on the online forex news, many traders use the realtime forex news to initiate and exit positions. Visit here: forexguidehowto.blogspot.com/

While keeping an eye on realtime forex news may provide traders with insight to short term exchange rate moves, technical traders rely on other key indicators to establish long and short positions in the forex market.

Friday, May 13, 2011

the Magic of GST - reveal !



The 2 sides of GST are shown earlier, one is generally the consumer side who say NO, the other is the government side who say it will be OK.

The "magic" highlighted is everyone pay less and yet the government can earn more, how is that possible ?
First of all, the trick in that statement is 'tax payers'. zzzz has about 27 millions people, only 1 million is paying taxes. So the rest of the 26 millions people who are NOT paying taxes now will be affected once GST is on. Even your underage kid buy a candy tomorrow, GST would have been included (depends on at which level of the distribution channel). So you "MAY BE" paying less tax, but everyone else in your family will be paying GST. Thats why you pay less tax and yet government can collect more, from people around you.


Secondly, not ALL industries will save money. This is a lengthy strategical discussion but in short; industries who optimize and/or shorten their distribution channels will survive, while others who don't will be dead. ( assuming everyone play fair and nice ). So small boys will die off, big boys will take over their market. Who pay the government more money ? Yes, the big boys. So big boys grow bigger and government gets more $.


Lastly, government doesn't really earn more money, at least not now. You see, the biggest income of the country comes from petroleum and this natural resource is going to end soon ( in less than 10 years ? ) So where else can the government continue to get the money from ? Well, what is the biggest asset of a country ? Its people. So GST will diversify the country's income portfolio. In other words, a country that live on GST income is self sufficient ie. the people are keeping their own country alive. Sounds nice isn't it ? Again, assuming everyone play fair and nice ya.

The panic of general public is only valid if one day we lost the income from petroleum and the similar income is projected into GST directly. I haven't done any calculation yet but I wouldn't be surprise that will be equivalent to 80% GST. So what will happen in coming near future is the increase of GST almost exactly as how it has been done with our petrol prices. May be you will see a GST 95 and GST 97 story ?

Worry no more, the next article will share "what we could do" . . . but before that, we may have to talk about "a perfect world" in order to really understand "what we could do".



This article was suppose to be read in this sequence.


Wednesday, May 11, 2011

the sides of GST


Actually GST is good, at least in theory. In practice, it could really go either way. And either way could mean good or bad for somebody and not everybody. This has already been proven in many countries who has adopted GST for ages. But one thing for sure, GST gives the government full Flexibility.

Now or in the past, it started with "I will tax this and that". So sales tax, service tax, government tax, custom tax etc. were introduced. With GST, it started with "I will tax everything" except those I give exceptions.

So system wise, GST is also better. Or in another word, GST is more systematic.
Most people may have known the devil of GST from many blog posts by now, but seriously if you look at the topic with a clear mind and NOT just from consumer point of view, you may realize those are really just purely speculation. However, it may still happen but when it does, it is because the consumers ourselves are making it happen. By thinking it might happen.

Interestingly however, not many people know the official GST info. What is the government thinking with regard to GST ?
Got it ?
People who buy will pay less,
people who sell will pay less and
government will have more money.

Interesting or not ? its MAGIC !!

At the end, it really doesn't matter what the big boys are doing. What really matter is what affects you. So forget about agreeing or disagreeing with GST. IT WILL HAPPEN ! You may as well start thinking how to make use of this GST to turn yourself into a part of the HIGH INCOME GROUP.

For that, you may want to check out .... Exempted stuffs


This article was suppose to be read in this sequence.


Saturday, May 7, 2011

Old Post - Write Will For FREE

Pardon my long silence. I am back and starting to clear some of my old drafts. But once I published them, they stay in their own old timestamps and hence not easy to be found I suppose. Below is draft I created in 2009 but only get to release now.


Below are my other drafts, I am no longer sure which is more important than which. Do comment if there is anyone you would like to know more.

Trust
zzzz 2011 Budget
FMB - Financial Mediation Bureau
AS1M Prospectus The price of AS 1zzzz unit is...
futures tutorial from Ino
Retire with Young Kids
It was already mentioned in last article that gett...
agent commission takes up a big chunk of insuranc...
Hong Leong Flexi FD
How to choose fund manager ?
Debt consolidation non profit - your savior in fin... case study, Loan
Getting Rich has NOTHING to do with Personal Finan...
 

about forex n finance guide 4 beginner Copyright © 2012 -- Powered by Blogger